“The world can be so humbling, but only if you let it humble you.”
― Amanda Montell, The Age of Magical Overthinking: Notes on Modern Irrationality
Does Confidence Equal Correctness?
My friend was so confident in her answer. So she must be correct, right? We often equate confidence with correctness.
But should we? (As it turns out, my friend was later proven wrong.)
If these questions intrigue you like they do me, Amanda Montell’s wonderful new book, The Age of Magical Overthinking: Notes on Modern Irrationality, is a must-read. And if you’re not asking yourself questions like these, perhaps you need to read this book even more?
Navigating a Confusing World
In a world that makes less and less sense to us, we need books like Montell’s to help us think more clearly. The Age of Magical Overthinking exposes the hidden biases of the human mind, reminding us that as intelligent as our brains are, they are also remarkably lazy. They prefer familiar paths over accurate ones.
The older I get, the more I realize there’s more I don’t know than I do know. And perhaps that’s a good thing.
The Value of Doubt
Doubting our certainties may turn out to be one of our more healthy traits. Montell’s book explores several common ways of thinking and systematically dismantles them with research. The title includes the word “magical” because these patterns of thinking often stray from the truth.
But how do we know Montell is right? By putting in the work ourselves and finding out.
For instance, Montell explains that “Magical thinking broadly describes the belief that one’s internal thoughts can affect external events.” We sometimes think we can manifest a better job. Cure cancer with positivity. Transform relationships with good vibes. While this magical thinking might make us feel more in control, does it really change reality? Put it to the test.

Our Magical Biases
The Halo Effect is the first bias that Montell writes about. The Halo Effect happens when we make overall positive assumptions about a person based on one trait. If a person is a wonderful singer, a confident politician, or a charismatic religious leader, our brains on the halo effect may think they’re also a wonderful parent, a smart teacher, and an overall kind human being. But is that necessarily true?
The Proportionality Bias is explained in chapter two as “the psychological craving for big events to have equally big causes,” often fueling conspiracy theories. Our brains want life to make sense. And when it doesn’t, we sometimes create meaning that isn’t accurate. This bias can also prevent us from seeking help when we need it or conducting proper research to investigate deeper.
Other biases in the book include:
- Sunk Cost Fallacy
- Zero-Sum Bias
- Survivorship Bias
- Recency Illusion
- Overconfidence Bias
- Illusory Truth Effect
- Confirmation Bias
- Declinism
- Negativity Bias
- Effort Justification Bias
Increase Curiosity and Awareness
Be warned: Montell doesn’t provide simple solutions to any of these biases in The Age of Magical Overthinking. But by increasing our curiosity and awareness about them, she gets us one step closer towards escaping their influence.
Understanding our flawed logic helps us adjust our thinking. This book reveals our mental missteps more clearly.
Rethinking our thinking never hurts. If we discover we were right all along, great. But if not? That’s important to know; now we can change.
Let’s embrace more questioning, wondering, and seeking. We may already know a lot, but there’s a whole lot more to know.
Share your thoughts in the comments.
Amanda Montell is also the writer of these amazing books: Cultish: The Language of Fanaticism and Wordslut: A Feminist Guide to Taking Back the English Language.
I wrote a series on biases here.
Read More:
- Blinded by Politics? Uncover Your Biases
Our biases can easily blind us and divide us when it comes to politics. Uncover these 4 biases to see more clearly. - They’re So Confident, They Must Be Right—Confidence Bias
Our tendency is to believe the most confident one. They’re certain they’re right; shouldn’t we be certain too? Not necessarily. Learn about confidence bias. - If You See Differently Than Your Group—Community Bias
Community bias is seeing only what our group wants us to see. But what if we start seeing differently?
My thanks to NetGalley + Atria Books for the
review copy of The Age of Magical Overthinking


