Comments on: They’re So Confident, They Must Be Right—Confidence Bias {Bias Day 23}

By: LisaNotes

LisaNotes — Tue, 02 Mar 2021 18:29:44 +0000

In reply to Heather. Ugh, I'm sorry you had to experience all that, Heather. It's such a prime example of confidence bias; I've seen it again and again in churches as well. I pray that you were able to find a new community that you can love just as much.

By: Heather

Heather — Sat, 27 Feb 2021 14:00:04 +0000

I think this is how a bad theology (Calvinism) took over our formally-wonderful EFCA church. The new pastor is very confident and bold-sounding. And so (my opinion) even if people noticed any red flags in his sermons, they ignored it because he seemed so sure of what he was saying. I think they convinced themselves he must be preaching the truth because he’s so “smart,” even though what he says contradicts what God plainly said in His Word. (Such as when he said “The Bible says God loves people, but it clearly says He doesn’t love ALL people and that He doesn’t love all people equally.” And “the world’ in John 3:16 doesn’t mean all people, it means ‘cosmos.'”) We ended up having to leave that church (our church home of almost 20 years) because no one would listen to our concerns. It’s sad.

By: Amanda

Amanda — Fri, 26 Feb 2021 15:48:03 +0000

This is such an important topic to know about. Thank you for sharing!

By: Susan M Shipe

Susan M Shipe — Tue, 23 Feb 2021 20:48:04 +0000

I know whom I have believed….xo

By: Ashley Rowland | HISsparrowBlog

Ashley Rowland | HISsparrowBlog — Tue, 23 Feb 2021 14:30:54 +0000

Your bias articles are so interesting! I didn’t know there was a name for this one either. However, I’ve noticed that there a lot of people who seem confident in every area—experts in everything. I’ve fallen for it several times. Now, though, I have found that I trust these people less, because there have been too many times when the topic strayed into an area that I knew a lot about…AND…they didn’t know what they were talking about. I think I’m much more likely to trust a person now who doesn’t tell me what to think because, of course, they know what they’re talking about and instead can have a dialogue about it.

By: Anita Ojeda

Anita Ojeda — Tue, 23 Feb 2021 13:51:29 +0000

Another excellent article, Lisa! I wonder if the confidence bias (and people’s need for following someone with confidence during a crisis) explains what happened in January? This post has given me a new perspective on those who seem inexplicable naive.

By: Michele Morin

Michele Morin — Tue, 23 Feb 2021 12:54:30 +0000

How often have I listened to the loudest voice in the room and doubted my own wisdom…?
This is such a helpful series.

By: Barb Hegreberg

Barb Hegreberg — Tue, 23 Feb 2021 12:51:54 +0000

This makes me think of the charismatic cult leaders that have deceived 1000s over the last 100 years or so. ?